tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post114344509499285006..comments2007-12-25T14:31:31.333-05:00Justinhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07697776280178146413noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-89333501001592950222007-12-25T14:31:00.000-05:002007-12-25T14:31:00.000-05:00What's funny is that's exactly what initially got me moving in the direction of doing this study--modeling a financial environment for use in a custom OOTP league! :) -jJustinhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07697776280178146413noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-65916452731514912342007-12-24T15:20:00.000-05:002007-12-24T15:20:00.000-05:00I play <A HREF="http://www.ootpdevelopments.com" REL="nofollow">OOTP Baseball</A> and I'm always trying to create a model that supplants the in-game market model because it's awful and is an overly simplified way of doing things. So your post -- though I haven't figure out exactly how yet -- should hopefully help me improve the model I built already.Ron Bhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08773198063759691006noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-41410143731449665852007-12-07T12:57:00.000-05:002007-12-07T12:57:00.000-05:00Thanks Ron! Always nice to see people are still checking this thing out--it's still one of my favorite pieces over a year later. -jJustinhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07697776280178146413noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-74467295222134663942007-12-07T07:58:00.000-05:002007-12-07T07:58:00.000-05:00This is very well done.Ron Bhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08773198063759691006noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-1143576355033072112006-03-28T15:05:00.000-05:002006-03-28T15:05:00.000-05:00Thanks!JinAZhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07697776280178146413noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-1143573856531399412006-03-28T14:24:00.000-05:002006-03-28T14:24:00.000-05:00That's just a fun read. Nice balance between stats and readability. I look forward to comign back here.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-1143481415569794962006-03-27T12:43:00.000-05:002006-03-27T12:43:00.000-05:00Yeah, Minnesota's an interesting case. The model handicaps them pretty severely because of their very poor stadium score. When they started to win, they went from ~1 million fans in 2000 (69 wins) to 1.7 million in 2001 (85 wins). This moved them from being right on the line (only 7,000 fan difference between predicted and actual in 2000) to 460k more than was expected in their '01 season. Since that time they've consistently been above predicted values (positive residuals between 140k-350k), finally topping 2 million fans last year. That's 9k more than the Reds drew in '05, when the model predicted the Reds should have pulled 500k more fans. Winning matters.<BR/>-BJinAZhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07697776280178146413noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-1143468966445081012006-03-27T09:16:00.000-05:002006-03-27T09:16:00.000-05:00"Reds fans like winners more than shiny ballparks."<BR/><BR/>The same must be true in Minnesota, certainly. Great analysis, J.Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13441809988487585009noreply@blogger.com